GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/18/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Cofutpa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Cofutpa hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Cofutpa holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Cofutpa

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

AD Cofutpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CofutpaLWDLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto GolfitoAD Cofutpa
9.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
1.9Form0.0
9.3Power23.7
0.87xG2.21
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