GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/30/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 20 · avg 0.00/4.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaWWLLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Puerto GolfitoAD Carmelita
9.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
1.9Form33.3
9.3Power45.3
0.81xG2.53
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