Puerto Cabellovs
Tigre
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/4/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Puerto Cabello are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tigre are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Tigre holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40