Puerto CabellovsSao Paulo

Puerto Cabello are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.