Puerto Cabellovs
Rayo Zuliano
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Cabello 3-1 Rayo Zuliano
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.0% | 40.6% | -28.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.0% | 26.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 7.47 | 12.0% | 32.7% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80