Puerto Cabellovs
Portuguesa FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Cabello 0-0 Portuguesa FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Cabello 2-1 Portuguesa FC
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.2% | 42.0% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 29.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 16.0% | 29.0% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Cabello 0–0 Portuguesa FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20