Puerto Cabellovs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Cabello 1-0 Monagas SC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Cabello 3-3 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.8% | 55.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 25.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.1% | 18.9% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Cabello 1–0 Monagas SC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80