GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Puerto Cabello are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto CabelloLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Metropolitanos FCLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Puerto CabelloMetropolitanos FC
28.6Attack0.0
57.1Defence100.0
38.1Form33.3
42.5Power45.3
0.90xG1.00
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