Puerto Cabellovs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Puerto Cabello are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lanus are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.5 against 40.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60