Puerto CabellovsFBC Melgar

Puerto Cabello are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.