Puerto Cabellovs
Deportivo La Guaira
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Cabello 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Cabello 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 31.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.0% | 31.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 36.8% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.91 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Cabello 0–0 Deportivo La Guaira
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40