Puerto Cabellovs
Deportivo La Guaira
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Puerto Cabello are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Deportivo La Guaira are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Guaira hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
24.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40