GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Puerto Cabello are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto CabelloWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TolimaDDWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Puerto CabelloDeportes Tolima
28.6Attack33.3
57.1Defence61.9
38.1Form52.4
42.5Power50.3
0.83xG0.89
View match centre →