GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Puerto Cabello are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cienciano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto CabelloDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto CabelloCienciano
28.6Attack53.3
57.1Defence63.3
38.1Form50.0
42.5Power54.2
0.76xG1.30
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