Puerto Cabellovs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Cabello 0-0 Carabobo FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Cabello 0-2 Carabobo FC
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.6% | 36.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 30.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.4% | 33.4% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Cabello 0–0 Carabobo FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00