Puerto CabellovsAtletico-MG

Puerto Cabello are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.