Puente Genilvs
Tamaraceite
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puente Genil · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puente Genil 1-0 Tamaraceite, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puente Genil 1-0 Tamaraceite
Original prediction
Puente Genil
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 50.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 27.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.8% | 22.1% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Puente Genil 1–0 Tamaraceite
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Puente Genil
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Puente Genil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20