Puente Genilvs
Marbella
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marbella · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puente Genil 0-0 Marbella, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puente Genil 0-0 Marbella
Original prediction
Marbella
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.7% | 30.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.1% | 30.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.2% | 38.6% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Puente Genil 0–0 Marbella
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Marbella
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Marbella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puente GenilLLWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarbellaWLDWL
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Puente GenilMarbella
33.3Attack40.2
33.3Defence68.6
0.0Form54.9
23.7Power55.8
0.79xG1.14