Puente Genilvs
Estepona
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puente Genil 0-0 Estepona, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puente Genil 0-2 Estepona
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.2% | 31.2% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.5% | 32.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 36.7% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Puente Genil 0–0 Estepona
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puente GenilLWLWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EsteponaLDDWW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Puente GenilEstepona
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence73.5
0.0Form48.0
23.7Power52.9
0.65xG0.91