Puente Genilvs
Badajoz
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puente Genil 0-0 Badajoz, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puente Genil 0-0 Badajoz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.7% | 33.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.8% | 32.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 34.4% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Puente Genil 0–0 Badajoz
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puente GenilWWLDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BadajozWWDDL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Puente GenilBadajoz
38.1Attack38.1
71.4Defence76.2
47.6Form66.7
52.8Power63.8
0.74xG0.75