Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Puebla W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 83.6-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60