Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Puebla W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 83.6-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20