Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tijuana W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Tijuana W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tijuana W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Tijuana W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tijuana W
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Tijuana W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20