Puebla Wvs
Querétaro W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puebla W 2-6 Querétaro W
Original prediction
Puebla W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.2% | 49.9% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 21.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.6% | 28.7% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Puebla W
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Puebla W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 20 · avg 2.00/4.00
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60