Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Pachuca W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00