Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (9.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
11.1%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60