Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 21 · avg 1.00/4.20