Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40