Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00