Puebla Wvs
Monterrey W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 1-5 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puebla W 1-2 Monterrey W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 51.67 | 1.8% | 7.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 19.17 | 4.9% | 9.8% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 93.2% | 82.7% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.1–58%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
82.7%
Model confidence
82.7%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 19 · avg 2.00/3.80
GF 24 · GA 6 · avg 4.80/1.20