Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Atlas W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80