Pueblavs
Santos Laguna
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Puebla are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and puebla hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 19.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Puebla with 12.1% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Puebla
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
12.1%
Puebla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40