GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/24/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Puebla are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (19.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Leagues Cup, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United FC

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PueblaLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Minnesota United FCDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PueblaMinnesota United FC
44.4Attack44.4
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form44.4
19.2Power53.1
1.28xG1.78
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