Pueblavs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puebla 1-0 Atlante FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puebla 1-1 Atlante FC
Original prediction
Puebla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.3% | 50.4% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.7% | 26.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 32.0% | 23.5% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Projected Score
Puebla 1–0 Atlante FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Puebla
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Puebla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PueblaLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCLDDLD
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PueblaAtlante FC
41.7Attack29.2
58.3Defence50.0
54.2Form29.2
54.4Power39.0
1.45xG0.74