Puebla U21vs
Monterrey U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puebla U21 0-0 Monterrey U21, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puebla U21 2-2 Monterrey U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 35.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 30.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.5% | 34.2% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.22 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Puebla U21 0–0 Monterrey U21
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.1%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puebla U21DLDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Monterrey U21WLLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Puebla U21Monterrey U21
27.8Attack60.6
80.6Defence51.5
44.4Form48.5
53.0Power53.7
0.86xG0.85