GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Puebla U21 0-0 Club Leon U21, with an exact score probability of 28%.

Prediction record

Final result

Puebla U21 1-2 Club Leon U21

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3638.3%30.2%-8.0 pts
Draw3.1328.8%33.4%4.5 pts
Away2.7432.9%36.4%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Projected Score

Puebla U21 0–0 Club Leon U21

Exact score probability: 28%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puebla U21DDLWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Club Leon U21WWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Puebla U21Club Leon U21
30.0Attack53.3
83.3Defence70.0
50.0Form70.0
56.5Power67.0
0.56xG0.77
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