NB III - Southwest
PTE-PEAC
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Sárbogárd
AwayThe model projects 1.26 xG for PTE-PEAC and 2.09 xG for Sárbogárd — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with PTE-PEAC holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — PTE-PEAC finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and Sárbogárd in 8 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.35 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesPTE-PEACProbability breakdown
Sárbogárd leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Sárbogárd Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
PTE-PEAC host Sárbogárd in NB III - Southwest. PTE-PEAC have recorded LDLDDW in recent matches while Sárbogárd arrive with a run of LLWLLL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Sárbogárd are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.09 projected against 1.26 for PTE-PEAC. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.83 is the clearest signal in the model that Sárbogárd are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Sárbogárd's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If PTE-PEAC defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Sárbogárd fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠Sárbogárd have been conceding 2.50 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
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PTE-PEAC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win PTE-PEAC vs Sárbogárd?
GoalVio's model predicts Sárbogárd to win with 61% confidence.
What is the predicted score for PTE-PEAC vs Sárbogárd?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in PTE-PEAC vs Sárbogárd?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in PTE-PEAC vs Sárbogárd?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.