GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSV/Eindhoven W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

PSV/Eindhoven W 0-1 Køge W

Original prediction

PSV/Eindhoven W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9047.5%41.5%-6.0 pts
Draw3.5825.1%24.9%-0.2 pts
Away3.3027.3%33.6%6.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

PSV/Eindhoven W

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

PSV/Eindhoven W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSV/Eindhoven WDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Køge WWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PSV/Eindhoven WKøge W
100.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power89.7
2.09xG1.92
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