PSV/Eindhoven Wvs
Fortuna Hjørring W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSV/Eindhoven W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSV/Eindhoven W 1-0 Fortuna Hjørring W
Original prediction
PSV/Eindhoven W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.6% | 42.5% | -23.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.1% | 26.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.32 | 14.2% | 30.9% | 16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
PSV/Eindhoven W
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
PSV/Eindhoven W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80