PSV Eindhovenvs
Heerenveen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
Original prediction
PSV Eindhoven
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 70.6% | 60.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.15 | 15.3% | 19.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 14.1% | 20.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
PSV Eindhoven
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40