PSV Eindhovenvs
Groningen
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/23/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Groningen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PSV Eindhoven are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Groningen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and groningen hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring Groningen with 11.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Groningen
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
11.9%
Groningen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60