PSV Eindhovenvs
Feyenoord
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Feyenoord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Feyenoord
Original prediction
Feyenoord
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.8% | 35.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.6% | 21.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 31.6% | 43.6% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Feyenoord
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Feyenoord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20