GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 10/27/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSS Sleman · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

PSS Sleman 1-2 Pusamania Borneo

Original prediction

PSS Sleman

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2128.3%37.0%8.7 pts
Draw3.3727.0%26.9%-0.1 pts
Away2.0344.7%36.1%-8.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

PSS Sleman

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

PSS Sleman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSS SlemanLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Pusamania BorneoWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PSS SlemanPusamania Borneo
50.0Attack26.7
38.9Defence60.0
22.2Form40.0
37.9Power45.3
1.36xG1.18
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