PSS Slemanvs
PSM Makassar
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSM Makassar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSS Sleman 3-0 PSM Makassar
Original prediction
PSM Makassar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.9% | 36.0% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.0% | 26.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.1% | 37.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
PSM Makassar
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
PSM Makassar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40