PSS Slemanvs
Persepam Madura Utd
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/12/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persepam Madura Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSS Sleman 1-3 Persepam Madura Utd
Original prediction
Persepam Madura Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.7% | 31.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.8% | 40.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Persepam Madura Utd
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Persepam Madura Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00