PSPSvs
PSMS Medan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSMS Medan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSPS 2-1 PSMS Medan
Original prediction
PSMS Medan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.6% | 32.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 29.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 37.9% | 37.7% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
PSMS Medan
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
PSMS Medan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20