PSMS Medanvs
PSIS Semarang
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSMS Medan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSMS Medan 2-1 PSIS Semarang
Original prediction
PSMS Medan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.2% | 46.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 27.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 25.9% | 26.2% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
PSMS Medan
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
PSMS Medan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80