PSMS Medanvs
Persikad Depok FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSMS Medan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSMS Medan 4-0 Persikad Depok FC
Original prediction
PSMS Medan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.3% | 48.1% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.7% | 25.1% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 7.45 | 12.0% | 26.7% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
PSMS Medan
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
PSMS Medan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60