GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 9/25/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSM Makassar · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

PSM Makassar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shan United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PSM Makassar hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.9% in the ASEAN Club Championship, while PSM Makassar holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PSM Makassar

Probability

67.9%

Model confidence

67.9%

PSM Makassar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSM MakassarDDDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shan UnitedLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PSM MakassarShan United
42.9Attack28.6
71.4Defence28.6
61.9Form28.6
60.3Power32.4
2.13xG0.65
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