PSM Makassarvs
Persita
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/19/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSM Makassar 2-2 Persita
Original prediction
Persita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.7% | 36.2% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 36.9% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Persita
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Persita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PSM MakassarDLLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PersitaWDLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PSM MakassarPersita
66.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence50.0
16.7Form66.7
31.3Power64.8
1.48xG1.75